China: capability more important than intent

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By Ian Sundstrom
Robert Haddick argues early in his Fire on the Water that:

“This book will make the case that with respect to China, U.S. policymakers will be wise to focus on China’s projected military capabilities and waste little effort attempting to discern the current or future intentions of China’s leaders. The reason is straightforward: intentions, and thus a country’s national security policies, can change suddenly. What matters for a leader’s calculations is whether the adversary has the instruments, including military capacity, to implement a revised policy.” (p. 8) A review of the book is here.

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