Analysis

N Korea won’t denuclearise and miscalculation possible: ex-admiral

ONE of the United States’ most senior retired military officers has warned during a visit to Australia that North Korea will not wind back its nuclear program and will need to be strongly deterred, including possibly through nuclear weapons positioned in Asia. “I am not optimistic that we’re going to be able to take the existing goals that we’ve had for the peninsula and move to a denuclearised state,” Patrick Walsh, a retired four-star admiral who commanded US naval forces in the Pacific, told Fairfax Media. “They may be the first to nuclearise in the region but I don’t think they’ll be the last.” Walsh, who as head of the Pacific Fleet commanded 180 ships and more than 125,000 personnel and has also served as vice-chief of naval operations, warned that strong deterrence would carry the risk of miscalculation leading to conflict because the closed-off regime of Kim Jong-un could…

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The importance of India’s joint military exercises

The importance of India’s joint military exercises

The Malabar exercises, of the Indian, Japanese and US navies, will take on increasing relevance, not only for the countries that participate, but also for regional states, including Australia and Indonesia, and extra-regional actors, such as China and Russia, which have important stakes in the Indo-Pacific, Balaji Chandramohan writes.

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Will AI be disruptive of our way of war?

Will AI be disruptive of our way of war?


There is a risk that human decision-making may no longer be involved in the use of lethal force as we capitalize on the military applications of Artificial Intelligence to enhance war-fighting capabilities. Humans should never relinquish control of decisions regarding the employment of lethal force. How do we keep humans in the loop, Marjorie Greene asks.

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Cyber threats to navies take many forms

Cyber threats to navies take many forms

Much of the attention on cyber threats focuses on hackers, data thefts, cyber espionage, and information or influence campaigns. And those are important. But these really are not the biggest threats in the maritime environment. The threats naval forces face in a maritime environment vary depending upon the part of cyberspace we’re talking about.

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Does Indonesia need to rethink its foreign policy?

Does Indonesia need to rethink its foreign policy?

ASEAN’s requirement for unanimity in decision-making gives China a de facto veto because several ASEAN members are dependent on China. China has also undermined Indonesia’s status within ASEAN on several occasions, in particular by contesting its exclusive economic zone boundaries, thus undermining its ambition to be an honest broker in the South China Sea dispute. So the question is: does Jakarta need to rethink its foreign policy, Bob Lowry asks.

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Navigating Malaysia-China geopolitical relations

Navigating Malaysia-China geopolitical relations

Although not terrestrial neighbours, China and Malaysia have a potential maritime boundary to be negotiated in the South China Sea. Malaysia will increasingly be confronted by the uncomfortable prospect that its main economic partner may also become a growing security threat. Trade and financial considerations mean that Malaysia may find its hands tied on the South China Sea issue.

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